So it’s week 2! What happened to week 1? We had some technical issues, but if you heard me on air you know my picks were: “Houston, NIU, Purdue, IU, UNLV”
3 out of 5 isn’t bad, what is bad is that IU lost to BALL STATE. Really? Ball State? IU sucks…Plus I’ll pat myself on the back for taking Okie State last night (-14)
Fuck it. Let’s go with this week’s picks:
Iowa – 7
Iowa State +7
Here is what you need to know: There is a reason that if the Big 12 breaks down that Iowa State is the one school (maybe with Baylor) that is going to be stuck looking for love. It’s because they suck at football. To be fair Iowa State did win a tough game last week 20-19…against NORTHERN IOWA. And let me say this, Northern Iowa should have won that game. The issue came down to Northern Iowa lacking the firepower that, let’s say, an Iowa would provide. You simply cannot settle for field goals on the road when your D was playing like they were. That is what cost UNI this game.
The simple fact we are talking about what cost UNI the game against Iowa State has to lead you to belive that Iowa is going to smoke Iowa State.
The Pick: Iowa -7
Here’s what I like about Cincinnati – they dropped 72 on Austin Peay. Here’s what I don’t like – Zach Collaros went 12 for 19 with 4TDs. I can promise you this, if he goes a robust 12 for 19 against Tennessee he won’t have 4 TDs to boast. I saw parts of this game and I can say without a doubt that Austin Peay was the WORST team that I saw play in week 1. Seriously – they were awful.
Here’s what I like about Tennessee – Tyler Bray 17 for 24 with 3 TDs against Montana. He is maturing before our eyes. Montana is a respected FCS team (unlike our friends at Austin Peay) and they do play “solid” football. As solid as an FCS team can play against a BCS school anyway.
This game is a classic Mid-West running team vs. SEC speed. SEC speed almost always wins. And they will in this one.
The Pick: Tennessee -4.5
California – 7
Truth time, I think Colorado is awful. I also think they should have stayed in the Big 12 – the PAC 12 is going to make them the new Washington State. I also think Colorado made an AWFUL coaching hire (for some reason…hiring a TE coach as a head coach didn’t feel right) and they are trying to dig out from under some awful recruiting.
California is California. They will give you a glimpse of a great team, then they will show how bad a team with talent can really look. One can only hope they will build off a win against an always game Fresno team to blow out Colorado. Before I made this pick I have to admit that Maynard worries me at QB. He isn’t accurate, he seems to make rash decisions, and he just isn’t a “gifted” Cal QB that we are used to seeing. The system isn’t working for him and that is a cause for concern.
Here’s the thinking…Colorado sucks. They just do. Cal will make mistakes and they will manage to make this sure blowout a 10 point win.
The Pick: CAL – 7
Alabama – 10
Penn State +10
Penn State getting 10 points…at home! Never! Look I like McLovin, I really do. He’s a Big 10 type passer. He’ll get the ball where it needs to be and aviod the sack. The problem is that against Alabama this season he may not have a chance to avoid the sack. There is just too much talent against him, and Penn State, on the other side of the ball. Bolden won’t fare well in a game like this. He should stay on the bench. His wacky “Fuck it, I’m just going to wing the ball wherever” approach doesn’t work against teams with speed…or…average talent. Unfortunatly for him Alabama has speed and GREAT talent.
Alabama is also facing a QB situation. The difference here is that both their QBs are pretty good. Sure you can argue that the SEC never can produce a large number of good QBs in a given season, and I’ll agree with that, but these guys don’t have to be amazing. With the speed and talent around them they pretty much just have to be average (like the majority of SEC qbs are.)
The Pick: Bama – 10
Northern Illinois -6.5
When is the last time a MAC team went on the road to a Big 12 team and was the favorite…by nearly a TD!?!? Well it’s happening here.
With all the hub-bub about conference movement there is even some internal Big 12 talk about giving NIU an invite if things start to seriously implode. The thinking is NIU can bring the Chicago market to a TV deal (with fox) that the Big 12 is going to be aggressively trying to save. The theory goes NIU is one team, with BYU, Memphis, and Houston + others depending on the losses. It has been talked about, but I doubt it’s very likely. At least they have had a conversation about it.
Which is why I like NIU. Seriously. If a bigger conference has honestly even mentioned your name it is because of 2 reasons – 1) You most likely are good at football and 2) You can bring them $$$ (in this case at the risk of accepting less money…if you think they would offer NIU, Memphis, or Houston a legit share of that contract you are crazy.) But back to point 1, NIU is good at football. They can score 40-50 a game this season (probably more…thank you EMU, Ball State, and a host of other MAC “defenses”)
Let’s look at Kansas. They suck. Enough Said…OK I’m kidding. Well not about the suck part, just about the enough said part. They let a very game McNeese State team score 24 points. McNeese State even left some points on the field – that isn’t a good thing for Kansas. Kansas is going to be without Jacorey Shepard (their top WR.) It’s going to be a long day for Kansas.
High scoring game with Northern Illinois taking this one by 17.
The Pick: Northern Illinois -6.5