Bow Tie Betting Football

Coming off a 3-0 week with your picks is never easy.  You can’t top what you just did and the only way you can logically travel is down the mountain.

At bowtie betting we have made it a habit of falling off the top of a mountain as gracefully as we can, and this week I think we are going to stay up there awhile.

Game 1:

Mississippi  -4.5

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South Carolina  +4.5

I hate betting on USC, any USC, and this week I’m going against my feelings for them to bet with my brain.  Mississippi is by far the highest ranked team to ever not play anyone.  Last year they lost to South Carolina at home.  I know someone out there will say, “But that’s the game after they beat Florida!”  And I would agree with that statement, but not agree with it for being the reason that they lost the game.  If they came out flat, then I could believe it, but they actually came out strong and put up 14 in the first quarter on USC for a 14-3 lead after one.  The lost that lead.  It had nothing to do with Florida, if anything they were riding high then came down to Earth.

Ole Miss handled a terrible Memphis team 45 – 14.  But consider the fact that 28 points came in the 4th quarter.  In fact 21 came in the last 6 minutes or so.  MTSU put a better beat down on Memphis (we are counting consistent scoring…not total margin of win.)  I think Ole Miss is a better team than they have been in the past, but they aren’t ‘Great’ and they aren’t 4.5 points better.

The thing about USC is that I’m not a fan.  South Carolina just irks me, I don’t know why.  Maybe it’s because they are the most frustrating team to watch in the world.  Who calls their plays on offense?  Score some friggin’ points, because you should!  That doesn’t mean they suck.

My pick:

South Carolina Gamecocks

Game 2:

Arkansas + 17.5

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Alabama – 17.5

In a battle of teams that both have coaches that I hate I picked the team with the coach I hate the most.  Why?  Because he needs this win.  The world already hates him, but at least he has won before.  If he keeps losing the world will just hate him and he’ll have nothing to fall back on!

Alabama, put the hurting on 2 crappy teams and played a fairly close game with Virgina Tech to open the year.  I don’t know about you but beating North Texas doesn’t make me feel like you are that great of a team.  Julio Jones and Roy Upchurch may not play.  That doesn’t make me feel better about them.

Arkansas, where do I begin?  Your coach is an ass-hat and you are 0-1 ATS.  That said you dropped 41 on Georgia.  I like that kind of party – and there’s nothing more dangerous than a cocky bastard who’s fighting to keep being a cocky bastard and not an idiot loser (Kanye West anyone?)  Sometimes it doesn’t work out, but in this case I’m feeling it.

My Pick:

Arkansas...tough looking mascot if you ask me

Game 3:

Arizona State +12

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Georgia -12

I really want to pick Arizona State and here’s why:

ASU Hottest Fans Ever

But they are making a fairly long trip to Georgia AND they aren’t really that good of a team.  Georgia manages to screw things up from time to time, but I don’t see this one being that close.

My Pick:

Georgia

So, I went 3-1 today, slightly better than the 2-1-1 of a week ago.  The big stinker for me was Temple, I can’t believe they only put up 3 points!

The loss to Buffalo in the last second must have really killed them, on the inside.  By the way, how about the call on NC State over ECU?  ECU isn’t a good team, I’ve been saying that all year, all they did was prove that WVU and VT (with Glennon) are TERRIBLE teams, so don’t ever wager on those 3 squads.  Buffalo played well, they are a team to keep betting on as long as they keep being disrespected.  And finally, Baylor isn’t going to win a whole ton of football games, but they have a fun young team that will keep games close and beat the spread.  A team you should surely keep an eye on all year.

Anywhoo, there is no shame in 3-1, if you bet equal money on each of my picks this week (assuming the standard -110 payout) you would have made roughly 43%.  That’s not bad in one days work.  So if you bet something like $100 total you’d end the day with $143.

I’d say going 3-1 is like dating Willa Ford, yeah it’s not Christina but I don’t think anyone would turn it down.

Yeah it's not Christina, but I'm not complaining

Hey everyone, sorry about the late picks this week I was a little bit sick so forgive the shortness of the post:

I like the Bears in this one.  Why?  Because I really don’t like UConn, and I figure the Bears aren’t as bad as everyone seems to think they are.  13.5 points?  Take em, and count your winnings.  (By the way, UConn only beat Temple by a score of 12 – 9…really guys really?)

Temple Owls   +29

Penn State       -29

Take Temple.  They are a MUCH better team this year, coach Golden has them going on the right path and that’s all you can really ask for.  And 29 points is a whole lot of points, I don’t care if Temple scores in garbage time when no one is paying attention, a win is a win.

Buffalo Bulls  +32.5

Mizzou          -32.5

Don’t get me wrong here, Mizzou is a mean offensive team, very mean.  They only thing that keeps me from thinking they will win by over 32 points is that Buffalo is a well coached team and they have a senior QB that won’t freak out when things start to go against them (things have gone against them quite a bit in Willy’s time, he should be fine).

ECU              -7

NC State      +7

Hi, I’m DMD I think ECU is the most overrated team in the top 25 and they beat a bunch of chumps.  The only problem is that they can only beat who they play, you can’t blame them for winning.  That said, WVU and VT(Without Taylor) have proven to be bad teams.  ECU is favored on the road, vs an ACC team.  On paper ECU is the better team, but will success go to their head?  Yes.  And I think in the post game press conference Coach Holtz will quote Eminem, “What do I think of success?  It sucks…”

Eminem, a Skip Holtz influence

Skip Holtz Listens to Eminem