Last Week: 2-1
Nothing really wrong with going 2-1, but I’m shooting for 3-0 this week.
Game 1
Central Florida +35
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Texas -35
I’m going to be honest, this game seems like a trap to me, I mean it just doesn’t smell right. UCF is 5-3, they aren’t terrible. UCF hasn’t really beaten anyone, and they really haven’t played anyone of any value other than Miami. They kept that game within 20. I don’t seem to understand how UCF is getting 35 points, which is more than they have given up in any single game this season – their D isn’t terrible. Their QB Brett Hodges isn’t great, in fact he’s at best average, but that doesn’t worry me. He’s a senior who has to avoid an ECU type meltdown and this game should be closer than 35. Brynn Harvey is a good young back who might not find a ton of room to run against Texas, but I think he can grind out close to his 3.9 yards per carry average.
Let’s pretend you are Texas for a minute. You’ve pretty much put a hurting on just about every team that you have played, but you really haven’t played anyone this season. Oklahoma and Oklahoma State were both without star players which made them average teams. Outside of that I guess you point to Texas Tech as a good team (They’re 6-3 with wins against bad teams and losses against good teams…what would you call them?) There just isn’t anything that is that impressive. They just hurt bad teams – but how long can you keep that up before some mistakes put you in trouble. Not lose the game trouble, just not winning by 35 trouble. UCF has enough team speed to keep Texas honest to an extent. I’m not saying that UCF wins this game, they just don’t lose by 35.
Game 2
Texas A&M -3
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Colorado +3
I don’t like Colorado, they got spanked by Toledo, who lost to Miami (OH)…what sort of loss is that? I think me and 10 of my buddies can get together and score a few TDs through the air against Colorado. That’s all the analyzing they are going to get.
Texas A&M, the Texas A&M who beat Texas Tech, is only a 3 point favorite over Colorado? What? Why? If you can beat Texas Tech by 22, you can beat Colorado by 3. Again, I don’t need to go any deeper than that. Take A&M. (I know there is that loss to Kansas State on their record, but I think that’s more of a fluke than a true measure of who they are as a team.)
Game 3
Kent State -3.5
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Akron +3.5
Kent State has found themselves as a sort of “darling” of the MAC. If you look at ESPN.com or any other site that does bowl projects too early to even be worth wiping your rear with, you’ll find that everyone seems to think Kent is going to a bowl. Yeah, Kent State. I’m not here to knock them, they just play a soft schedule and are a pretty darn bad team. But “bad’ is a relative term, Kent State smokes the spread this season. What do I like about Kent State? Tyshon Goode who is a “Freshman” and by Freshman I mean he went to prep school and he’s not really a Freshman at all. He played a full season of football at Prep school. So he can play. The guy is an insanely good weapon for Kent.
Akron? Well Akron just sucks. That’s all I can say for them. Kent knows if they want to be a bowl team they just have to beat the awful teams they play, 1-7 Akron counts as awful.
Kent Wins easily…even though Kent isn’t a great team.
Check back to see how we did!